Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.022246 0.023981 0.025787 0.027810 0.030014 0.032344 0.034998
2025-12-07 0.019219 0.021686 0.024390 0.027581 0.031251 0.035352 0.040294
2025-12-14 0.017190 0.020058 0.023323 0.027328 0.032129 0.037722 0.044764
2025-12-21 0.015849 0.019003 0.022704 0.027392 0.033205 0.040216 0.049377
2025-12-28 0.014684 0.018013 0.022023 0.027243 0.033906 0.042189 0.053364
2026-01-04 0.013769 0.017236 0.021510 0.027209 0.034674 0.044212 0.057460
2026-01-11 0.013046 0.016633 0.021148 0.027304 0.035563 0.046382 0.061827
2026-01-18 0.012391 0.016063 0.020774 0.027330 0.036323 0.048380 0.066035
2026-01-25 0.011866 0.015624 0.020534 0.027497 0.037249 0.050619 0.070675
2026-02-01 0.011232 0.014998 0.019998 0.027213 0.037511 0.051918 0.074017
2026-02-08 0.010600 0.014339 0.019375 0.026760 0.037489 0.052783 0.076737
2026-02-15 0.010113 0.013851 0.018960 0.026568 0.037813 0.054141 0.080245
2026-02-22 0.009612 0.013337 0.018503 0.026323 0.038090 0.055512 0.083975
2026-03-01 0.009174 0.012891 0.018124 0.026173 0.038502 0.057113 0.088187
2026-03-08 0.008749 0.012441 0.017713 0.025945 0.038773 0.058497 0.092125
2026-03-15 0.008438 0.012143 0.017505 0.026008 0.039482 0.060589 0.097343
2026-03-22 0.008096 0.011780 0.017181 0.025867 0.039853 0.062149 0.101753
2026-03-29 0.007807 0.011482 0.016938 0.025835 0.040386 0.063986 0.106742
2026-04-05 0.007568 0.011249 0.016780 0.025924 0.041114 0.066175 0.112480
2026-04-12 0.007329 0.011003 0.016591 0.025949 0.041728 0.068196 0.118042
2026-04-19 0.007135 0.010819 0.016488 0.026106 0.042566 0.070636 0.124525
2026-04-26 0.006857 0.010491 0.016140 0.025839 0.042657 0.071769 0.128636
2026-05-03 0.006562 0.010123 0.015712 0.025412 0.042444 0.072342 0.131707